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2024-12-13 04:44:28

World Bank: Kenya's growth forecast for 2024 is lowered to 4.7% due to financial challenges.Reserve Bank of Australia: You can't say when you have confidence in inflation. Reserve Bank of Australia President Brock said that you can't say when you have confidence in inflation, but the Committee has noticed weak data. Our forecast does show that inflation will slow down. If this happens, there will be a moment when we will be confident enough that inflation will return to the target range and start to relax interest rates. We will observe the upcoming data before the meeting in February next year and evaluate what these data mean for inflation and whether we can achieve our forecast.Hongya CNC: The income from exporting products to the US market is relatively low. Hongya CNC (002833) said on the interactive platform today that the company's products are exported to more than 70 countries and regions, and the income from the US market is relatively low.


Broad-based index products are expected to increase the Y share of personal pension, and personal pension products are expected to expand after the second anniversary of the personal pension system. It is understood that mainstream broad-based index products are expected to increase the personal pension Y share, including Shanghai and Shenzhen 300 Index, CSI 500 Index, CSI A500 Index, GEM Index and other products, which can provide investors with more allocation needs. (SSE)The turnover of Shanghai, Shenzhen and Beijing exceeded 1.5 trillion, exceeding 430 billion compared with yesterday.Afternoon comment: The Shanghai Composite Index rose more than 1% in half a day, and consumer concept stocks broke out collectively. The index was active in early trading. The Shanghai Composite Index rose more than 1% in half a day, and the Shanghai Composite Index rose more than 2%. In terms of sectors, robot concept stocks continued to break out, and the concept of PEEK materials led the rise. Both China Research Institute and Xinyi New Materials had a daily limit of 20cm, while Zhongxin Fluorescent Materials and Walter shares touched the daily limit; The large consumer sector collectively rose, with dairy stocks leading the gains, and Panda Dairy, Western Animal Husbandry and Li Ziyuan were trading daily; AI concept stocks fluctuated higher, and it is worth buying 20cm daily limit, Hanwang Technology, Xinhua Media and other daily limit; Insurance stocks strengthened, and Tianli Technology, Astar, Focus Technology and other daily limit. Overall, individual stocks showed a general upward trend, with more than 4,600 stocks rising. On the disk, all sectors in the two cities generally rose, with PEEK materials, film and television theaters and dairy sectors among the top gainers.


Huang Wentao of China CITIC Construction Investment Co., Ltd. and others: It is estimated that deficit ratio will rise to over 4% in 2025, and it is expected that the stock and debt will continue. On December 9th, the Political Bureau of the Central Committee held a meeting to analyze and study the economic work in 2025. Huang Wentao, chief economist of CITIC Jiantou, and Liu Tianyu, macro analyst of CITIC Jiantou, believe that the policy tone of this Politburo meeting is quite proactive, which shows that the central government has made a full assessment and policy reserve for the pressures and risks that may be encountered in economic development next year, which has strongly echoed the expectations of economic entities. Huang Wentao and Liu Tianyu pointed out that GDP growth in the fourth quarter is expected to reach more than 5.2%, achieving the expected goal of annual economic growth of around 5%. On this basis, the annual growth target of about 5% will also be the basic premise of policy discussion in the next few years. Since the fourth quarter of this year, the fiscal policy has been continuously overweight. This time, the fiscal policy is set to be "more active", which indicates that the fiscal policy will expand again. It is estimated that deficit ratio will increase to over 4% in 2025. Both stocks and debts are expected to continue. Unconventional countercyclical adjustment policies not only provide sufficient impetus for the recovery of economic vitality, but also provide strong support for improving expectations and reviving confidence, and provide sufficient source of living water for the capital market. The stock market is expected to continue to strengthen and the risk-free rate of return is expected to continue to decline.At the close of early trading, the main contracts of domestic futures rose more and fell less. Coke and BR rubber rose by more than 3%, while rebar, glass, hot coil, iron ore and Shanghai Bank rose by more than 2%. In terms of decline, the European line of container transportation fell by nearly 3%, while asphalt, alumina and No.20 glue fell by more than 1%.LI: In the 49th week of 2024 (12.2-12.8), the weekly sales volume of LI reached 12,600 vehicles, ranking first in the sales volume of new power brands in China market for 33 consecutive weeks.

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